## Ignorance feels alot like expertise
IN MANY CASES, INCOMPETENCE DOES NOT LEAVE PEOPLE DISORIENTED, PERPLEXED, OR CAUTIOUS. INSTEAD, THE INCOMPETENT ARE OFTEN BLESSED WITH AN INAPPROPRIATE CONFIDENCE, BUOYED BY _SOMETHING_ THAT FEELS TO THEM LIKE KNOWLEDGE.
## The effect
- The worst performers overestimate their ability
- The best performers underestimate their ability
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“WE CAN TAKE SOME IDEA AND SPIN A COMPLETE AND COMPELLING STORY AROUND IT ... AND IT DOESN’T NECESSARILY MEAN THAT IT’S RIGHT”
### Actions
- Be wary of extemporizing ^[Compose, perform, or produce something such as music or a speech without preparation; improvise.] on topics you know nothing about
- Be wary of confident idiots - [[Psychology]] of Human Wrongness
- Be wary of the frequency & scope of my ignorance
##### Sources
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[[First Principles and Mental Models MoC]] #firstprinciple