## Ignorance feels alot like expertise IN MANY CASES, INCOMPETENCE DOES NOT LEAVE PEOPLE DISORIENTED, PERPLEXED, OR CAUTIOUS. INSTEAD, THE INCOMPETENT ARE OFTEN BLESSED WITH AN INAPPROPRIATE CONFIDENCE, BUOYED BY _SOMETHING_ THAT FEELS TO THEM LIKE KNOWLEDGE. ## The effect - The worst performers overestimate their ability - The best performers underestimate their ability ![A chart showing perceived ability and actual test scores.](https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/H6TehfjsDBnMh-xnzk1n-sesK7M=/0x0:434x395/1200x0/filters:focal(0x0:434x395):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/13637807/dunning_kruger.png) “WE CAN TAKE SOME IDEA AND SPIN A COMPLETE AND COMPELLING STORY AROUND IT ... AND IT DOESN’T NECESSARILY MEAN THAT IT’S RIGHT” ### Actions - Be wary of extemporizing ^[Compose, perform, or produce something such as music or a speech without preparation; improvise.] on topics you know nothing about - Be wary of confident idiots - [[Psychology]] of Human Wrongness - Be wary of the frequency & scope of my ignorance ##### Sources - [[First Principles and Mental Models MoC]] #firstprinciple