# Silver Lease Rates
Silver lease rate is the cost to borrow silver. Currently at 8.5% for one month, this screams physical scarcity.
## How It Works
Just like renting a car, you can "rent" silver. Who borrows: manufacturers (need silver for 30-90 days), refiners (need silver while processing), short sellers (borrow to sell).
## Normal vs Crisis
Normal market (0.5% lease rate): Manufacturer needs 10,000 oz for 30 days. Cost: 10,000 × 0.5% × (30/360) = 4.2 oz.
Current market (8.5% lease rate): Same manufacturer needs 10,000 oz for 30 days. Cost: 10,000 × 8.5% × (30/360) = 71 oz.
8.5% for one month = 102% annualized if compounded. Higher than credit card rates.
## What 8.5% Tells You
Banks don't have silver to lend. What little exists is needed elsewhere. Industrial users are panicking to secure supply.
Current 100-day average: 6.28%. Latest reading: 8.53%. The average is rising, not falling. Stress is accelerating, not peaking.
## Historical Context
Normal lease rate: 0-1%. Elevated: 2-3%. Crisis: 5%+. Current: 8.5%.
We're in uncharted territory. The only comparable period was 2011, when silver hit $49/oz. But 2011 had no [[Silver Structural Supply Deficit|structural deficit]] and no [[China Silver Export Restrictions 2026|supply disruption]].
## The Signal
High and rising lease rates are classic physical market stress. Combined with [[Silver Swap Rates and Forward Curve|-7.9% swap rates]] and [[Shanghai Silver Premium|12% Shanghai premium]], all three confirm the same story: the market requires meaningfully higher prices.
If lease rates hit 10%+, expect panic. Industrial users borrowing at 10%/month (120% annualized) means they'll pay ANY price to secure silver. That's when [[Silver Price Discovery - Paper vs Physical|paper markets]] reprice violently higher.
Links: [[Silver MOC]] | [[Why Silver Physical Indicators Matter]]
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